5 Sept · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1515
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rek
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1559
FormLWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.