5 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1613
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hnizdil
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1554
FormWWWWW
55%
45%
🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 81% (90)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H32-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-31)