5 Sept · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Macurak
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1543
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (54)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)