5 Sept · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Macurak
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1505
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)