5 Sept · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1633
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Macurak covers set handicap as underdog 66% (53)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.