5 Sept · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1531
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1555
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Neterda goes over total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.