5 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1435
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobota
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H8-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)