5 Sept · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1414
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1465
FormLLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (52)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.