5 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1617
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvrna
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Macurak🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (132)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.