5 Sept · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1453
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1473
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rein🌟Vodal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (98)
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H36-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.