5 Sept · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1505
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1591
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (94)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H17-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-13)