5 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1486
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Reska
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1438
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Jokiel covers set handicap as underdog 64% (56)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.