5 Sept · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Skvarskyi
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1529
FormWLWWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)