5 Sept · 15:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1469
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1494
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stefek🌟Stefek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (44)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.