5 Sept · 18:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1532
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volny
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1521
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Volny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (54)
Fair odds · Volny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.