5 Sept · 17:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1266
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1470
FormLWLWW
34%
66%
🌟Jaros stays under total as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+204
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+204)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)