5 Sept · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1469
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stefek
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1462
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.