5 Sept · 17:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1494
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sindler
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1462
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skvor🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.