5 Sept · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jemelka
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1391
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benesz
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)