5 Sept · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1470
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Motacek
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1364
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)