5 Sept · 20:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1459
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lysek
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1521
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Lysek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (29)
Fair odds · Lysek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)