5 Sept · 20:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1469
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stefek
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1418
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanous🌟Stefek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.