5 Sept · 18:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1467
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1494
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (97)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.