5 Sept · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1469
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kanak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1551
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (50)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)