5 Sept · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jakub Dvorak
ELO 1535
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dvorak
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1424
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (48)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H50-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-47)