5 Sept · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IJ
🇨🇿Ivan Jemelka
ELO 1474
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jemelka
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1418
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vanous
Fair odds · Jemelka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)