5 Sept · 17:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1480
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tichy
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1454
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (139)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.