05 Sep · 13:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1559
3-1Final setsLovl won
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1585
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Ruzicka at 53%. The actual result was Jan Lovl 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jan Ruzicka favoured — closing 1.69
Total 76.5
74 points played
Set handicap
Jan Ruzicka −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jan Ruzicka −0.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Lovl is favoured to win, below means Jan Ruzicka.
▲ Jan Lovlpre 50% → final 5%
Jan Ruzicka ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsRuzicka recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games