5 Sept · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1629
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvarskyi
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1531
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)