05 Sep · 20:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1657
3-2Final setsGuzy won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1591
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 51%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 3-2 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.75
Total 74.5
91 points played
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Karol Guzypre 55% → final 77%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 48 pts72 points · 5 games