6 Sept · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1681
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sikora
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1627
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H26-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.