6 Sept · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1758
FormWWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Moravec
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1521
FormWLLWW
69%
31%
🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+237
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)