6 Sept · 12:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1426
FormWLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Chmelicek
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1262
FormLWLLL
63%
37%
🌟Jaros stays under total as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+164
H2H19-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-3)