6 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1585
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ruzicka
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1516
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)