6 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krenek
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1536
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (57)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.