6 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1543
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slavik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1566
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (33)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.