5 Sept · 23:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1558
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kowalewski
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1676
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H30-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-15)