6 Sept · 08:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1582
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1594
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Gembala covers set handicap as underdog 63% (57)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H9-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.