6 Sept · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1622
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Skvrna
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1566
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (134)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)