6 Sept · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1676
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1708
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (101)
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H74-70
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.