6 Sept · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1585
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ruzicka
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)