6 Sept · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1566
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slavik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1536
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (33)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.