6 Sept · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1603
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hnizdil
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Budik covers set handicap as underdog 82% (92)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H33-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.