6 Sept · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1484
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Budik
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dohnal🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 78% (59)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H32-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)