6 Sept · 10:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1484
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1603
FormLWLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+119
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)