6 Sept · 13:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1398
FormLLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1530
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H25-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-11)