6 Sept · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1594
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1521
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)