6 Sept · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1676
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1787
FormWWLLL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vesecky🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (101)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H26-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-25)