6 Sept · 15:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1530
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sebl
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.