6 Sept · 14:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1398
FormLLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1603
FormLWLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+205
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)